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本帖最后由 zsrite 于 2015-8-16 20:31 编辑
移民局的统计,是已经批下来的人数(approved or declined),不是已经递交申请但是还没有获批的人数。不定期更新。
改为单月统计,单位为人数:
单位:Number Of Clients.
单位是人数,不是申请数,一个申请可能是一个人,也可能是两个人。移民局按人数定配额.
2012/2013 = July 2012 - June 2013
Month | 旧政策 | | On Hand | Decided | Approved | Declined | Declined Rate | 2012-7 | 8743 | 530 | 472 | 58 | 10.94% | 2012-8 | 8432 | 311 | 258 | 53 | 17.04% | 2012-9 | 8123 | 252 | 202 | 50 | 19.84% | 2012-10 | 7810 | 175 | 123 | 52 | 29.71% | 2012-11 | 7609 | 131 | 105 | 26 | 19.85% | 2012-12 | 7459 | 83 | 56 | 27 | 32.53% | 2013-01 | 7158 | 89 | 72 | 17 | 19.10% | 2013-02 | 6922 | 64 | 48 | 16 | 25.00% | 2013-03 | 6536 | 137 | 105 | 32 | 23.36% | 2013-04 | 6107 | 173 | 143 | 30 | 17.34% | 2013-05 | 5727 | 250 | 219 | 31 | 12.40% | 2013-06 | 5450 | 172 | 147 | 25 | 14.53% | Total |
| 2367
| 1950 | 417 | 17.62% | | | | | | | | | | | | | Month | 新政策(T1) | | On Hand | Decided | Approved | Declined | Declined Rate | 2012-7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2012-8
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.00% | 2012-9 | 133 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 0.00% | 2012-10 | 365 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 0.00% | 2012-11 | 580 | 54 | 52 | 2 | 3.70% | 2012-12 | 790 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 3.51% | 2013-01 | 1166 | 91 | 83 | 8 | 8.79% | 2013-02 | 1467 | 168 | 164 | 4 | 2.38% | 2013-03 | 1948 | 271 | 260 | 11 | 4.06% | 2013-04 | 2317 | 349 | 329 | 20 | 5.73% | 2013-05 | 2517 | 393 | 370 | 23 | 5.85% | 2013-06 | 2519 | 526 | 491 | 35 | 6.65% | Total | | 1949 | 1844 | 105 | 5.39% | | | | | | | | | | | | | Month | 兄弟姐妹团聚 | | On Hand | Decided | Approved | Declined | Declined Rate | 2012-7 | 2382 | 69 | 57 | 12 | 17.39% | 2012-8 | 2339 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 30.00% | 2012-9 | 2261 | 87 | 57 | 30 | 34.48% | 2012-10 | 2197 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 32.26% | 2012-11 | 2129 | 70 | 44 | 26 | 37.14% | 2012-12 | 2085 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 22.73% | 2013-01 | 2068 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 37.50% | 2013-02 | 2057 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 18.75% | 2013-03 | 2001 | 57 | 37 | 20 | 35.09% | 2013-04 | 1957 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 16.67% | 2013-05 | 1909 | 54 | 51 | 3 | 5.56% | 2013-06 | 1906 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.00% | Total | | 592 | 434 | 158 | 26.69% | 2012/13移民年总结
旧政策2012/2013年总数:2367 (include 417declined) 拒签率:17.62%
新政策(T1)2012/2013年总数:1949 (include 105 declined) 拒签率:5.39%
兄弟姐妹团聚2012/2013年总数:592 (include 158 declined) 拒签率:26.69%
父母类别批下来的总人数为:3794
家庭团聚类别(不包括配偶和子女)批下来的总人数为:4228
之前传说的配额数为:4000
看来兄弟姐妹团聚类为单独配额。不包括在4000内。
==============================
2013/2014 = July 2013 - June 2014
==============================
Month | 旧政策 | | On Hand | Decided | Approved | Declined | Declined Rate | 2013-07 | 5168 | 155 | 137 | 18 | 11.61% | 2013-08 | 4900 | 203 | 172 | 31 | 15.27% | 2013-09 | 4708 | 135 | 113 | 22 | 16.30% | 2013-10 | 4495 | 113 | 87 | 26 | 23.01% | 2013-11 | 4351 | 87 | 66 | 21 | 24.14% | 2013-12 | 4252 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 10.64% | 2014-01 | 4117 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 21.05% | 2014-02 | 3983 | 67 | 54 | 13 | 19.40% | 2014-03 | 3858 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 22.39% | 2014-04 | 3728 | 77 | 57 | 20 | 25.97% | 2014-05 | 3630 | 79 | 52 | 27 | 34.18% | 2014-06 | 3534 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 28.85% | Total |
| 1139
| 914 | 225 | 19.75% | | | | | | | | | | | | | Month | 新政策(T1) | | On Hand | Decided | Approved | Declined | Declined Rate | 2013-07 | 2659 | 382 | 368 | 14 | 3.66% | 2013-08 | 2662 | 362 | 314 | 48 | 13.26% | 2013-09 | 2894 | 294 | 260 | 34 | 11.56% | 2013-10 | 3212 | 270 | 237 | 33 | 12.22% | 2013-11 | 3422 | 309 | 275 | 34 | 11.00% | 2013-12 | 3459 | 397 | 372 | 25 | 6.30% | 2014-01 | 3517 | 386 | 358 | 28 | 7.25% | 2014-02 | 3260 | 607 | 574 | 33 | 5.44% | 2014-03 | 3155 | 620 | 593 | 27 | 4.35% | 2014-04 | 2806 | 712 | 680 | 32 | 4.49% | 2014-05 | 2431 | 725 | 690 | 35 | 4.83% | 2014-06 | 2563 | 354 | 322 | 32 | 9.04% | Total | | 5418 | 5043 | 375 | 6.92% | | | | | | | | | | | | | Month | 兄弟姐妹团聚 | | On Hand | Decided | Approved | Declined | Declined Rate | 2013-07 | 1883 | 37 | 29 | 8 | 21.62% | 2013-08 | 1846 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 19.44% | 2013-09 | 1815 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 25.00% | 2013-10 | 1768 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 6.52% | 2013-11 | 1747 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 18.52% | 2013-12 | 1738 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 37.50% | 2014-01 | 1689 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 32.65% | 2014-02 | 1672 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 20.83% | 2014-03 | 1640 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 16.22% | 2014-04 | 1618 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 16.00% | 2014-05 | 1597 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 14.71% | 2014-06 | 1581 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 6.25% | Total | | 379 | 305 | 74 | 19.53% | 今年父母类别井喷式增长, 从去年的4000人上升到6000人。看来政策还有可能要收紧,T1的门槛还有可能要增高。
==============================
2014/2015 = July 2014 - June 2015
==============================
| | | | | | Month | 旧政策 | | On Hand | Decided | Approved | Declined | Declined Rate | 2014-07 | 3,492 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 0.00% | 2014-08 | 3,433 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 57.14% | 2014-09 | 3,363 | 44 | 25 | 19 | 43.18% | 2014-10 | 3,262 | 70 | 53 | 17 | 24.29% | 2014-11 | 3,135 | 97 | 84 | 13 | 13.40% | 2014-12 | 3,040 | 72 | 46 | 26 | 36.11% | 2015-01 | 2,916 | 92 | 63 | 29 | 31.52% | 2015-02 | 2,805 | 97 | 70 | 27 | 27.84% | 2015-03 | 2,674 | 94 | 73 | 21 | 22.34% | 2015-04 | 2,527 | 121 | 103 | 18 | 14.88% | 2015-05 | 2,382 | 123 | 104 | 19 | 15.45% | 2015-06 | 2,298 | 79 | 66 | 13 | 16.46% | Total | | 911 | 705 | 206 | 22.61% | | | | | | | | | | | | | Month | 新政策(T1) | | On Hand | Decided | Approved | Declined | Declined Rate | 2014-07 | 2,520 | 528 | 494 | 34 | 6.44% | 2014-08 | 2,411 | 419 | 400 | 19 | 4.53% | 2014-09 | 2,405 | 434 | 388 | 46 | 10.60% | 2014-10 | 2,319 | 432 | 386 | 46 | 10.65% | 2014-11 | 2,198 | 374 | 339 | 35 | 9.36% | 2014-12 | 2,297 | 246 | 219 | 27 | 10.98% | 2015-01 | 2,184 | 327 | 287 | 40 | 12.23% | 2015-02 | 2,093 | 277 | 245 | 32 | 11.55% | 2015-03 | 2,104 | 318 | 270 | 48 | 15.09% | 2015-04 | 2,098 | 314 | 290 | 24 | 7.64% | 2015-05 | 1,961 | 331 | 308 | 23 | 6.95% | 2015-06 | 2,073 | 173 | 116 | 57 | 32.95% | Total | | 4173 | 3742 | 431 | 10.33% | | | | | | | | | | | | | Month | 兄弟姐妹团聚 | | On Hand | Decided | Approved | Declined | Declined Rate | 2014-07 | 1,553 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 38.71% | 2014-08 | 1,520 | 38 | 31 | 7 | 18.42% | 2014-09 | 1,501 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 11.11% | 2014-10 | 1,465 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 30.56% | 2014-11 | 1,421 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 44.00% | 2014-12 | 1,390 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 10.34% | 2015-01 | 1,363 | 30 | 24 | 6 | 20.00% | 2015-02 | 1,334 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 26.92% | 2015-03 | 1,295 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 3.33% | 2015-04 | 1,256 | 38 | 19 | 19 | 50.00% | 2015-05 | 1,230 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 29.63% | 2015-06 | 1,189 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 17.95% | Total | | 392 | 287 | 105 | 26.79% |
==============================
2015/2016 = July 2015 - June 2016
==============================
Month | 旧政策 | | On Hand | Decided | Approved | Declined | Declined Rate | 2015-07 | | 206 | 174 | 32 | 15.53% | 2015-08 | | | | | | 2015-09 | | | | | | 2015-10 | | | | | | 2015-11 | | | | | | 2015-12 | | | | | | 2016-01 | | | | | | 2016-02 | | | | | | 2016-03 | | | | | | 2016-04 | | | | | | 2016-05 | | | | | | 2016-06 | | | | | | Total | | 206 | 174 | 32 | 15.53% | | | | | | | | | | | | | Month | 新政策(T1) | | On Hand | Decided | Approved | Declined | Declined Rate | 2015-07 | | 442 | 418 | 24 | 5.43% | 2015-08 | | | | | | 2015-09 | | | | | | 2015-10 | | | | | | 2015-11 | | | | | | 2015-12 | | | | | | 2016-01 | | | | | | 2016-02 | | | | | | 2016-03 | | | | | | 2016-04 | | | | | | 2016-05 | | | | | | 2016-06 | | | | | | Total | | 442 | 418 | 24 | 5.43% | | | | | | | | | | | | | Month | 兄弟姐妹团聚 | | On Hand | Decided | Approved | Declined | Declined Rate | 2015-07 | | 21 | 19 | 2 | 9.52% | 2015-08 | | | | | | 2015-09 | | | | | | 2015-10 | | | | | | 2015-11 | | | | | | 2015-12 | | | | | | 2016-01 | | | | | | 2016-02 | | | | | | 2016-03 | | | | | | 2016-04 | | | | | | 2016-05 | | | | | | 2016-06 | | | | | | Total | | 21 | 19 | 2 | 9.52% |
对于旧政策的申请者来说。只要还在批而没有停止不前就是好消息。
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