- UID
- 339792
- 热情
- 17146
- 人气
- 22701
- 主题
- 204
- 帖子
- 4461
- 精华
- 0
- 积分
- 22346
- 分享
- 0
- 记录
- 0
- 相册
- 2
- 好友
- 0
- 日志
- 0
- 在线时间
- 9010 小时
- 注册时间
- 2012-9-1
- 阅读权限
- 30
- 最后登录
- 2025-8-6
    
升级   11.73% - UID
- 339792
- 热情
- 17146
- 人气
- 22701
- 主题
- 204
- 帖子
- 4461
- 精华
- 0
- 积分
- 22346
- 阅读权限
- 30
- 注册时间
- 2012-9-1
|
本帖最后由 bungyjumping999 于 2017-12-11 09:31 编辑
If there is a NZ capital fright ( NZ dollar leaving the country in high volume), there is a possibility that Banks (Reserved Bank as well) will increase the interest rates to control NZ dollar leaving the country.
One cannot rule out this possibility, NZ dollar is one of the most played currencies, and now is on the high and is vulnerable of being manipulated by global players given the new government intervention policies.
A devaluation of 15% of NZ dollar and capital outflow will trigger the crisis.
In Greek and Iceland, and during Asian Financial Crisis ( AFC), reserved banks in those countries set high interest to prevent capital outflow, and IMF had to inject capital to rescue the banks. The mess is still felt through today in some of the affected countries.
Does the Labour government have the ability to face this kind of crisis?
Grassroot preferred's government is not a smart government, they were chosen on popularity and appear to be looking after the grassroots people ( hence speech like " putting a human face on capitalism") above the interest of greater picture and economic good. It is normally fragmented, and unable to function in times of crisis.
Some possible events that might trigger crisis:
- Trump's issues and US Government Issues - Geopolitical issues - North Korean, ISIS & Terrorism
- Bitcoin issue
- Government over focusing on domestic policies and failing to see the potential international issues that might trigger crisis
- Natural disaster ( eg another big earth quakes)
- Most of the Global sharemarket is on the Heights, unprecedented high. The markets might be in for reshuffle...
- 10 years cycle - it might not happen in 2018, but showing some signs and potential time bomb....
We shall see... haha.
|
|