ZT: 专家说，新西兰不太可能会像Perth那样腰斩

NewLynnHse

Could a property collapse like Western Australia is experiencing happen here?

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=11846842

A sharp drop in property prices could happen in New Zealand, but is unlikely because our economic boom is being driven by more than one sector, says a property valuation boss.

Top end property prices in Western Australia are said to have collapsed by 30 per cent since a 2009 peak and families are at breaking point, plagued with mounting debts they can't pay off, as they face the reality of a collapsing economy.

Australian media have reported that as properties decrease significantly in value and unemployment rates rise, many are now struggling to find jobs to make ends meet.

Ashley Church, chief executive of the New Zealand Property Institute, which represents valuers and other property experts, said there were some parallels between New Zealand and Western Australia.

Like New Zealand, Western Australia had seen a dramatic increase in its population driven by an economic boom which had pushed up house prices.

But over there the boom was driven by mining, whereas New Zealand's economic boom was broad-based.

"If you look at what has caused it... We have got a much more diverse base."

Church said to see a drop in house values in Auckland or New Zealand of the magnitude which has taken place in Perth, the country would need to see a dramatic turn around in migration and an exodus from the country.


...................

Church said if you looked at past history the only time property values took a substantial hit in New Zealand was in 1973 and 1974 when the market dropped 38 per cent on the back of the oil shocks and the British entering the common market.

Since then New Zealand had experienced the global financial crisis and the dotcom crash without seeing a significant collapse in property prices.

"New Zealand has this ability to endure through these changes in economic fortunes.

"Could it happen to us? Yes. It is likely to? I suspect not based on history."

- NZ Herald

呼啸寒风

腰斩的前提是人够高，太矮了刀只能够到头发

love_3_month

很多人一看英文就不读了，然后等一个山寨版的中文新闻来“不同角度的解读” - 其实就是错误翻译哈哈哈哈

261874939

所以说。。赶紧买。不要等

NewLynnHse

love_3_month 发表于 2017-4-28 10:56
很多人一看英文就不读了，然后等一个山寨版的中文新闻来“不同角度的解读” - 其实就是错误翻译哈哈哈哈;39 ...

别的不要管，但是小老鼠的转帖不能放过。。。哈哈

rzrljb

腰斩估计不会，会斩到脖子么？

hitye

喊涨的翻译肯定都是正确的

auckland.clark

西澳腰斩了吗？

auckland.clark

去年7月说温哥华的房市崩盘了，2周跌了30%。实际情况又怎么样呢？

房奴甲

呼啸寒风 发表于 2017-4-28 10:53
腰斩的前提是人够高，太矮了刀只能够到头发

鼓掌鼓掌鼓掌鼓掌。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。

Quad

auckland.clark 发表于 2017-4-28 12:08
去年7月说温哥华的房市崩盘了，2周跌了30%。实际情况又怎么样呢？

实际情况怎么样？ 我们借鉴一下      

xpd2000

艾玛，崩盘了啊，我要去帕斯

GreatCursER

西澳野生动物太凶猛

auckland.clark

Quad 发表于 2017-4-28 15:32
实际情况怎么样？ 我们借鉴一下

发布的2016年涨幅是这个情况。

Quad

auckland.clark 发表于 2017-4-28 16:45
发布的2016年涨幅是这个情况。

https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3006326

Quad

昨天呢， 今天呢？        没有中国人买买买， 房市还会涨吗？

Quad

https://wallstreetcn.com/premium/articles/400241

NewLynnHse

Quad 发表于 2017-4-28 16:57
昨天呢， 今天呢？        没有中国人买买买， 房市还会涨吗？

刚需啊

Quad

NewLynnHse 发表于 2017-4-28 16:58
刚需啊

恩， 必需是 ”刚刚“的

Quad

我觉得大风暴来临， 中国 大泡沫快要爆掉了。 新西兰 ， 加拿大都要跟着 啪啪啪了

auckland.clark

Quad 发表于 2017-4-28 17:00
我觉得大风暴来临， 中国 大泡沫快要爆掉了。 新西兰 ， 加拿大都要跟着 啪啪啪了  ...

中国的房地产，不要用西方经济学来分析。

magic

auckland.clark 发表于 2017-4-28 19:39
中国的房地产，不要用西方经济学来分析。

同意，比如某知名教授说了20年，几乎每年说一次，比算命的还不靠谱，不知道是不是战略忽悠局的。

2015年4月7日 - 著名经济学家郎咸平认为，只要工业4.0在全球铺开，中国制造业将全线崩溃
2014年7月15日 - 郎咸平中国经济已崩溃
2013年8月14日 - 郎咸平认为：“中国经济已陷入全面崩溃，伴随我们走完余生的不是中国梦
2012经济学家郎咸平大胆断言，中国经济崩溃再引发政治崩溃
郎咸平看2010年中国：经济在发烧 随时可能崩溃
2011郎咸平 中国经济已经破产
2010 郎咸平 郎咸平:经济在“发烧”随时可能崩溃
2009年12月9日 郎咸平警告中国的资产泡沫引发经济崩溃
2008年11月8日，郎咸平 中国的错误在于迷信市场化

为人民服务12345

我记得有个专家说过新西兰的房地产到2019年起稳，之后会慢慢下跌，还是感觉很有道理

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