(28/4)OCR NO CHANGE(10/03)RBNZ surprises with 25 bps cut to 2.25%-4%利率来临！房价下行遏制！

LYYX

OCR HOLD AS EXPECTED.NZD Jumps 50bps.86%经济学家预测10/06将降OCR到2%。
1）Reserve Bank leaves OCR unchanged--http://www.nzherald.co.nz/person ... p;objectid=11630027
2）http://www.interest.co.nz/news/8 ... revival-house-price
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以下为旧帖（发表于 2016-3-10 08:09:27）

http://www.interest.co.nz/news/8 ... t-falling-inflation


绝对好消息！

ps:1) this cut will still assist borrowers and stimulate the economy. It may also still provide fresh impetus for Auckland's slowing housing market - a side effect the Reserve Bank does not want to see:http://www.nzherald.co.nz/proper ... p;objectid=11603515

angelvan2012

我看了一个小时了终于有人把这个新闻放上来了。

LYYX

angelvan2012 发表于 2016-3-10 08:11
我看了一个小时了终于有人把这个新闻放上来了。

Haha，人家9AM才公布呢？我三月底到期的贷款等4%利率呢！

NewLynnHse

OMG!!

bobbyzhong32

坐等3。9利率~哈哈哈哈哈

我要买车

储备银行扛不住了啊，实体经济还是不行，降息多少还能降一下纽币，有利出口和旅游，想升息打压房价的事情看来要往后安排了

ilovesoymilk

上次降息银行也基本没跟。

LYYX

我要买车 发表于 2016-3-10 08:18
储备银行扛不住了啊，实体经济还是不行，降息多少还能降一下纽币，有利出口和旅游，想升息打压房价的事情看 ...

RBNZ 认为该做的去年已做，该需IRD配合的已配合，该把投资者推出（新西兰或Auckland）的已推出（去Hamilton/Tauranga etc)--只担忧通胀率太低！（行长及政客们也不想自己的那么多房产贬值）。

猫只吃肉

利率降一群唱衰的啪啪打脸。

LYYX

读者反应：
by rjn1 | Thu, 10/03/2016 - 09:49
up5
Wow, I wish I had the ability to predict certainties in financial markets - you must have made a killing on the forex market just now!

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by dictator | Thu, 10/03/2016 - 09:12
up0
I'm guessing the year on year inflation figures are going negative for this early rate cut. Looks like things are bad, but my mortgage financing in the next month is looking up.

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by bigblue | Thu, 10/03/2016 - 09:12
up0
The question is how quickly will the greedy Aussie bankers drop their mortgage rates - there is no excuse now - we should be seeing 3.95% for 2 years fixed ASAP

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by Finance Gal | Thu, 10/03/2016 - 10:16
up1
Except offshore funding costs and credit spreads are significantly higher.. I wouldn't hold your breathe for fixed rate decreases unfortunately..

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by Belle | Thu, 10/03/2016 - 10:18
up1
The talking heads looked a bit stressed when asked to discuss this point

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by Stephen Hulme | Thu, 10/03/2016 - 09:14
up1
The gift the governor keeps giving - Bill Gross is proud of him.

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by Penguin | Thu, 10/03/2016 - 09:16
up1
The only bright light I see in the economy is tourism so probably makes sense.

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by mandalay | Thu, 10/03/2016 - 10:41
up0
And Auckland property of course.... Watch them prices rise and rise!

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by bigblue | Thu, 10/03/2016 - 09:18
up0
Deflation and negative interest rates are coming to NZ - we should have mortgage interest rates of around 2% to 2.5% just like the UK

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by Stephen Hulme | Thu, 10/03/2016 - 09:23
up1
Buy those government bonds, absolutely no deflationary price expectations forecast in this market.

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by OnwardsUpwards | Thu, 10/03/2016 - 10:29
up0
LOL

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by steven | Thu, 10/03/2016 - 09:55
up0
That implies what, <1% wholesale? Who will lend to NZ at that rate though?

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by Stephen Hulme | Thu, 10/03/2016 - 10:27
up0
I year USD Libor before currency hedging costs/credit risk premiums etc currently stands at 1.207%

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by Robert Meek | Thu, 10/03/2016 - 10:03
up0
What we need to keep in mind about UK is yes they have very low rates but massive mortgage set up/management costs. This is a trend we may see come to NZ

keepower

我要买车 发表于 2016-3-10 08:18
储备银行扛不住了啊，实体经济还是不行，降息多少还能降一下纽币，有利出口和旅游，想升息打压房价的事情看 ...

We need to stimulate spending because of the deflationary environment

The floating rates on mortgages needs to fall to help dairy farmers

We need a weaker Kiwi $ to help our exporters

LYYX

this cut will still assist borrowers and stimulate the economy. It may also still provide fresh impetus for Auckland's slowing housing market - a side effect the Reserve Bank does not want to see:http://www.nzherald.co.nz/proper ... p;objectid=11603515

mwe23

angelvan2012 发表于 2016-3-10 09:11
我看了一个小时了终于有人把这个新闻放上来了。

有这么撒谎的吗？哈哈

LYYX

OCR HOLD AS expected。86%经济学家预测10/06将降OCR到2%。
1）Reserve Bank leaves OCR unchanged--http://www.nzherald.co.nz/person ... p;objectid=11630027
2）http://www.interest.co.nz/news/8 ... revival-house-price

HarryHere

LYYX 发表于 2016-4-28 09:02
OCR HOLD AS expected。86%经济学家预测10/06将降OCR到2%。
1）Reserve Bank leaves OCR unchanged--http:/ ...

个人觉得专家预测OCR3个月左右还挺准的，超过半年的话就很难说了。毕竟很多因素都会变化。