奥克兰未来30年缺5万套房子，真的如此吗？

bayinland

引自先驱报
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=10716795

The great disappearing home
Auckland is facing a major housing crisis if current development trends continue.
Local officials predict that, at the current rate of development, there will be a shortage of 50,000 homes in 30 years - equivalent to all the homes in Hamilton.
Auckland Council chief planning officer Dr Roger Blakeley warned that Auckland needs to be proactive by subdividing smaller properties and expanding into semi-rural areas if it is to avoid a major housing crisis.
"The question is, how do we accomodate those 50,000 dwellings?"
Although the council would focus on more intensive development within the city limits, there were plans to expand development west of Massey, west of Manukau, and south of Papakura and Karaka. More development is likely to include rezoning existing land and changing regulations to allow subdivision of smaller sections.
But Blakeley could not comment on what would be changed until Auckland's major planning document, the Auckland Plan, is released in December. A discussion document on the plan, released last week, said over the past three years Auckland had "already fallen short by approximately 10,000 new homes - the equivalent of a town the size of Blenheim".
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狂风暴雨

拿现在的房屋数量跟未来30年的人口预期比,怎么都应该是缺啊.感觉就目前的情况如果算上空置的房屋应该不是很缺.

风继续吹

预期不一定可靠，但是不管怎样，从长期角度来讲，房子或者说土地，都是升值的。但是也要考虑升值和发展的速度问题。

呼啸寒风

不止差5万，15万我都信

房子要赶紧买，要多买，咬咬牙多买一套到时候就多出n多财富，不要等政府再打压的时候就来不及了

新马甸甸

一边是供求紧张，一边是无地可盖

http://nz.news.yahoo.com/a/-/mp/9124880/auckland-housing-crisis/

Auckland housing crisis
It seems the quarter acre dream could be all but over for Aucklanders.

Building and Housing Department figures show the city is expected to grow by the entire population of Wellington over the next 20 years.

Erskine+Owen director Lisa Phillips says under the region's current growth strategy, Auckland will be full by 2026. She says some pockets of the city will have no spare space in as little as seven years.

Ms Phillips says it will be virtually impossible to build a new stand-alone house on more than 400 square metres, as soon as 2023. After then, many people will have to live in terraced houses or apartments, with shared outdoor spaces. She also expects prices to surge, as a growing population competes for an ever-dwindling supply of homes.

cjdai

买房要趁早......

Tigercoffee

都是在忽悠！！！！！！！！！！！

武夫的眉笔

嗯，经济这个样子，短期房价上不去

如果未来三十年才缺五万套，那么平均一年才不到两千套，似乎需求也不大

z9z9z9

都是在忽悠！！！！！！！！！！！

o0o冰茶ooo

感觉政府应该多盖一点retirement village.. 30年后俺们都差不多得搬retirement village了 房子卖了就会空出来不少房子了... 哈哈哈

jaye

都是在忽悠！！！！！！！！！！！
Tigercoffee 发表于 2011-5-23 22:16

同意再同意......................................

mattvivi

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ocean_blue

15# mattvivi 不知为何撞墙的动作比以前快很多。。。。难道我的显示器有问题？

房子应该是会缺的，housing nz也在不停的买房子

kelongrenwei

个人认为，物业投资绝对是有必要的，不管这份报告的可靠性有多高，但是有一点是可以肯定的，那就是物业是一定会升值的！呵呵呵！

quaintsea

LS+1, 房屋价格上升的最大推手是通货膨胀。只要有通膨在，长期看涨是一定的

瑶君

个人认为，投资新西兰的房产是个错误。

ziyfan

政府补助房  不多，，所以 一定会涨。。。
但如果政府准备盖很多 这些房。。那就不好说啦。。

30243712

同意再同意......................................
jaye 发表于 2011-5-24 14:46

同意再同意再同意......................................