要跌了？

cymlmh

http://money.skykiwi.com/realestate/2015-01-21/192263.shtml
是不是真的啊，要不要等一段时间观望观望呢？

NewLynnHse

不是没有可能，各说各的，各听各的咯

Lease

他说得很清楚： 他不知道何时会跌。

他这种屁话谁不会说。 我也知道这样涨下去房价肯定会跌。 但是， 你想一想， 如果从现在开始， 每年房价再涨15%， 连涨三年， 然后再跌25%， 那样你等到跌25%之后的房价依然要比现在高很多。

Scofield

房价必须腰斩，建议楼主继续观望，把租约续的久一点

pangxinzhu

谁知道是不是真的呢，各种预言，有的实现了有的没有

游客

是真的,一定要再等等,活久一点,肯定可以等到房价跌的那一天的,要有信心.

jessica

真心觉得难
现在地都贵了
房价怎么可能降呢

楼主

求崩盘

love_3_month

this is the original article
http://www.interest.co.nz/news/7 ... house-price-correct

very interesting comments below........

leonfish

楼主 发表于 2015-1-22 13:56
求崩盘

哈哈，楼主一如既往啊.........

love_3_month

this is more realistic

"Our forecast has been for declines of 2 per cent per annum in 2017 and 3 per cent in 2018 so 5 per cent overall. But there's a wide range of possibilities and a sharper decline is certainly a possibility.

http://www.nzherald.co.nz/busine ... p;objectid=11390163

楼主

leonfish 发表于 2015-1-22 13:59
哈哈，楼主一如既往啊.........

心诚则灵

likaren2014

Lease 发表于 2015-1-22 12:47
他说得很清楚： 他不知道何时会跌。

他这种屁话谁不会说。 我也知道这样涨下去房价肯定会跌。 但是， 你想 ...

是啊 我也可以做专家了 我比他还会说 哪个国家的都会说 哪个汇率也都会说 反正什么都会跌 就是不知道时间 他能说个几年之内也好啊 啥也不知道就说跌 估计他也在偷偷买房呢

songinator

love_3_month 发表于 2015-1-22 13:00
this is more realistic

"Our forecast has been for declines of 2 per cent per annum in 2017 and 3 p ...

this is very real............

but buy now =+  8%  in 2015 and 7% up in 2016 then drop 5%


看brian那个新闻的跟帖
by Boatman | 21 Jan 15, 2:27pm
Maybe house prices will fall 25 %  ..........If all of the thing listed below , happen

• Immigration of over 1000 new people each and every week comes to a complete stop .
• Asian buyers who raise money at 3% in Hong Kong are stopped  from buying here
• Interest rates double,  and
• Banks stop lending recklessly on overpriced houses , and
• Banks run out of QE money that has arrived here ,  to lend
• Auckland council allows the orderly development of the city , instead of restricting the city limits in some arbitrary line around it .
• Auckland Council  stops charging $100,000 in a list of fees taxes and other charges to subdivide a section
• If Auckland Council's Watercare unit  stops rorting everyone and charging $12,000 for a $600 water meter .
  

And then we also need leadership
Len Brown needs to keep his focus on the city's development problems instead of young Asian babes , gets rid of the pie in the sky dumb ideas that will bankrupt us ,  and keeps his you- know - what in his trousers
Realistically , none of the above will happen , so we are faced with more of the same for some time

love_3_month

songinator 发表于 2015-1-22 15:57
this is very real............

but buy now =+  8%  in 2015 and 7% up in 2016 then drop 5%

haha, and this one

nterest.co.nz needs to utilise better 'predictors'. Maybe someone with a ouija board, or seeking the opinions of pupils at the local intermediate school would yield better results.

Bernard Hickey loudly 'predicted' in 2008/2009 that Auckland house prices would fall by 30 percent.

Oh yeah, they fell by 11 - 13 percent according to official bank and industry stats.

Ooops part I

Then the same Mr Hickey forecast in 2009 that Auckland house prices would not recover their value untl 2020.

Oh yeah, they actually recovered their value by 2012/13.

Oooops part II.

So, obviously now with little to no credibility, interest.co.nz has found another patsy to make outrageous headline grabbing claims.

We waite for Oooops parrt III

quad5

oooops

肉肉妈

才百分之二十五，最乐观也是腰斩吧。

呼啸寒风

这个都是时间问题

ATAE

呼啸寒风 发表于 2015-1-23 09:54
这个都是时间问题

纽币兑美金跌破0.75的支撑以后，现在朝着0.70进发，如果真达到0.7，那么纽币对RMB会达到4.3，大家拭目以待啊

863364

都闪闪，专家来了，砖家也来了

mwe23

嗯，人家不算专家，就是个milford asset fund 的基金经理罢了！过去1，2年funds 也就新西兰基金做的最好的一个而已！大家把kiwisaver放milford 的都转出来吧？这样的专家没有什么，不如这里的砖家。

肉肉妈

mwe23 发表于 2015-1-23 12:57
嗯，人家不算专家，就是个milford asset fund 的基金经理罢了！过去1，2年funds 也就新西兰基金做的最好的 ...

当然不如这里的专家，我们拒绝谨小慎微的预测，我们是忽略小数点的：要么上涨100%要么下降100%，25%？！一边玩去。

love_3_month

mwe23 发表于 2015-1-23 12:57
嗯，人家不算专家，就是个milford asset fund 的基金经理罢了！过去1，2年funds 也就新西兰基金做的最好的 ...

人家怎么说的

“房价也许会回调10%、15%、20%，或者甚至25%”

也许，或者。。。。

而且前提是先要涨个两年，他有说每年会涨多少吗？
先每年15%，然后“也许”来个回调10%，那他的话就没说错。。。。。

madashuainz

跌回  2007  年

dc.

房价不是不倒, 時間未到？？

dc.

匯率因素發酵中.

killnz

整体趋势还是会涨  降也是小幅度短期回落  资源就那么多 需求量只增不减  你拿什么让他大跌

Robbi

啥都不用看，我一看这个名字，我就知道他潜台词：
来吧，来吧，别投资房地产行了，把钱放来我的Milford fund Kiwisaver 里头吧。
多高明的广告啊

吥噜

今天一重磅新闻，欧元区终于开始正式QE了。这样的话美欧日央行就同步了。接下来看看人民币是不是能和欧元正式互换，估计很难。

Lease

吥噜 发表于 2015-1-23 18:42
今天一重磅新闻，欧元区终于开始正式QE了。这样的话美欧日央行就同步了。接下来看看人民币是不是能和欧元正 ...

美国已经退出QE了。