- UID
- 84997
- 热情
- 467
- 人气
- 747
- 主题
- 2
- 帖子
- 596
- 精华
- 0
- 积分
- 917
- 分享
- 0
- 记录
- 0
- 相册
- 0
- 好友
- 5
- 日志
- 0
- 在线时间
- 1087 小时
- 注册时间
- 2006-8-26
- 阅读权限
- 20
- 最后登录
- 2020-11-15
 
升级   83.4% - UID
- 84997
- 热情
- 467
- 人气
- 747
- 主题
- 2
- 帖子
- 596
- 精华
- 0
- 积分
- 917
- 阅读权限
- 20
- 注册时间
- 2006-8-26
|
本帖最后由 后文车妖 于 2015-4-22 10:25 编辑
John Key's note is only in a purpose of responding to Grant Spencer as he urged the government policy in cooling the AKL house market.
If what John Key said were truly representing the government welling and final decisions on this matter, the reserve bank of NZ would have to solely take actions, of course, Grant has to be brave enough to take all the consequences and responsibilities in this circumstance.
It seems like no one can do (and would like to do) anything at this stage. Let's keep watching the OCR in following two month. The RBNZ primary task is stabilizing the NZD and rebuild the export, especially in a context of huge dropping of commodities prices. In China, the Politburo will hold meeting on 25th, new economy policies (including cutting off the RMB OCR, I believe) will be finalized. NZ shall take further actions then, I guess. I would expect the NZD OCR dropping in June/July, and may be with a higher LVR in the investor-lending cases. The consequence would be 1) the depreciation of NZD and 2) huge house inflation in AKL and rest of NZ.
If no further actions on OCR, NZD would be toilet papers after a year time (and the face value of your house cost will reflect that.) The national government will sacrifice AKL home buyers. Well done. |
|