The Labour Party is celebrating an explosive boost in support - and it's all down to the "Ardern Effect".
In the latest Newshub-Reid Research poll Labour has jumped 9 points up to 33.1 percent.
This is the party's highest percentage in our polling since January 2014 when it was 33.5 percent.
But it doesn't appear to have had much effect on National's numbers - they're down 0.8 to 44.4 percent.
Significantly though, this is National's lowest percentage in more than 10 years. It was only lower in March 2007 when they achieved 42 percent, just after John Key took over as leader.
The poll was conducted from August 2-8; the first day of polling was Ms Ardern's first official day in the Labour leadership job.
The increase in Labour's numbers has come largely from the Greens who have crashed down 4.7 points to 8.3. It's also come from New Zealand First - down 3.8 points to 9.2 percent. NZ First had a historic high in the last Newshub-Reid Research poll.
Based on those numbers National would get 55 seats in Parliament and Labour would have 41.
To govern, either side needs 61 seats. National wouldn't be able to get there with its current support partners and would need NZ First's 11 seats.
Labour would also need NZ First, as adding the Greens' 10 seats would only get them to 51.
Fears Andrew Little would not make it back into Parliament have been dampened significantly with this result - in fact it would see a huge influx of new Labour faces into Parliament.
Labour currently has 31 MPs in Parliament - however three will not be contesting this election. That means, based on this poll, Labour would get 13 fresh faces in, including Priyanca Radhakrishnan, Willow-Jean Prime, Kiri Allan, Greg O'Connor, Tamati Coffey and Willie Jackson.
Newshub.
新西兰游民trump 发表于 2017-8-9 19:43
工党,这个女的给人感觉不踏实。很狡猾
你们再怎么支持国家党,都改变不了国家党票数没工绿多的事实。这个 ...
pear 发表于 2017-8-9 20:20
终于可以让国家党下台了,看到曙光了
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