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标题: Reserve Bank of New Zealand Statement of Intent [打印本页]

作者: songinator 时间: 2014-6-27 17:35:54 标题: Reserve Bank of New Zealand Statement of Intent

本帖最后由 songinator 于 2014-6-27 16:37 编辑

NEWS RELEASE

Date 27 June 2014

Reserve Bank committed to supporting economic growth

The Reserve Bank’s Statement of Intent (SOI) for 2014-2017 emphasises the Bank’s commitment to supporting economic growth in New Zealand, Governor Graeme Wheeler said when releasing the SOI today.

The Reserve Bank contributes to economic growth by targeting price stability, a sound and efficient financial system, and meeting the public’s currency needs.

“The Bank has been one of the catalysts for the current economic expansion,” Mr Wheeler said. “Five years of stimulatory interest rates moderated New Zealand’s recession in 2008 and 2009 and provided a platform for the current economic recovery.

“We will continue to do our part to ensure economic growth is sustainable by running monetary policy so that we avoid the damaging impact of high inflation on competitiveness, real incomes and output growth.”

The SOI outlines the Bank’s priorities for the next three years, framed around three themes: continuing to strengthen the Bank’s performance; developing a more integrated approach to policy; and improving infrastructure and reducing enterprise risk.

“These priorities are designed to best position the Bank to face the challenges ahead. For example, we are continuing to build our understanding of the interface between monetary and macro-prudential policies; we are strengthening the security features in our banknotes; and we are conducting a stocktake of prudential regulation to see where there could be more efficiency and clarity.

“The Reserve Bank faces a full agenda in the years ahead as it seeks to support the New Zealand economy and financial system for sustainable expansion,” Mr Wheeler said.

粗略看了看report 发现一段话比较有意思

Objective
To       achieve       and       maintain       stability       in       the       general       level       of       prices.
The       current       Policy       Targets       Agreement       (PTA)       between       the       Minister       of       Finance       and       the       Governor       requires
that       the       Bank       “keep       future       CPI       inflation       outcomes       between       1       and       3       percent       on       average       over       the       medium
term,       with       a       focus       on       keeping       future       average       inflation       near       the       2       percent       target       midpoint”.    It       also       requires
that:       “In       pursuing       its       price       stability       objective,       the       Bank       shall       ...       seek       to       avoid       unnecessary       instability       in       output,
interest       rates       and       the       exchange       rate.”
Scope of operations
The       Bank       undertakes       research       and       analysis       of       macro-economic       conditions       to       enable       it       to:
•       Set       an       Official       Cash       Rate       (OCR)       eight       times       a       year,       or       as       required,       with       the       aim       of       keeping       inflation       near
the       mid-point       within       the       target       band.
•       Publish       the       quarterly       Monetary Policy Statements       (MPSs)       at       the       same       time       as       four       of       the       OCR       decisions.
The MPSs       set       out       the       Bank’s       views       on       the       economy       and       inflationary       pressures,       and       the       basis       for       the
OCR       decision.
•       Announce       the       other       four       OCR       decisions       about       six       weeks       after       each       MPS.
•       Where       appropriate       and       feasible,       intervene       in       the       foreign       exchange       market       to       influence       the       level       of       the
exchange       rate,       consistent       with       the       objectives       of       the       PTA.

作者: songinator 时间: 2014-6-27 17:38:26

这两天NZD USD 0.88一直没上去和我预期的一样

现在准备看NZD熊市开始

作者: frzheng 时间: 2014-6-27 19:39:46

songinator 发表于 2014-6-27 16:38
这两天NZD USD 0.88一直没上去和我预期的一样

现在准备看NZD熊市开始

能熊多久？奶粉中国都进不去了。

作者: ilikeauckland 时间: 2014-6-27 21:18:56

songinator 发表于 2014-6-27 16:38
这两天NZD USD 0.88一直没上去和我预期的一样

现在准备看NZD熊市开始

请大师指明方向，升？跌？

作者: ilikeauckland 时间: 2014-6-27 22:14:21

高人阿， Reserve Bank of New Zealand Statement of Intent 到底在说什么呢？我看得半懂不懂。

作者: songinator 时间: 2014-6-28 13:03:05

ilikeauckland 发表于 2014-6-27 20:18
请大师指明方向，升？跌？

跌。。。。。。。。。。。。。。。

上上次graham wheeler讲话的时候呢他说纽币太高可能要干预
然后纽币就跌了

上次讲话的时候只提了一句纽币还是高  然后说OCR要继续升如果inflation继续上涨然后仿佛打消了很多人对于央行要干预的疑虑
然后很多人买进了纽币    所以涨了

这次央行表态说即使inflation上涨  OCR不一定升哦    我们也要考虑过高的纽币等等还是可能要干预打压纽币

这个文件不是每个投资者都看或认真看的       也许不能立刻在纽币市场上有反应但是表明了央行的态度

作者: songinator 时间: 2014-6-28 13:04:39

frzheng 发表于 2014-6-27 18:39
能熊多久？奶粉中国都进不去了。

让他们疯吧早晚央行要干预这次trade balance已经i比预期低了很大部分应该是海外已经找到一些nz dairy product的替代品了比如丹麦加拿大等等

让他们疯吧

作者: 阿海 时间: 2014-6-28 13:56:13

汇率这东西应该在投资版里发哈哈 xD

作者: ilikeauckland 时间: 2014-6-28 18:42:39

songinator 发表于 2014-6-28 12:04
让他们疯吧早晚央行要干预这次trade balance已经i比预期低了很大部分应该是海外已经找到一 ...

Thank you very very much.

作者: songinator 时间: 2014-6-28 20:46:55

阿海发表于 2014-6-28 12:56
汇率这东西应该在投资版里发哈哈 xD

不知海哥驾到有失远迎
我不关心投资我只关心什么时候纽币崩盘海外投资者来抢房

作者: ilikeauckland 时间: 2014-6-28 20:48:58

songinator 发表于 2014-6-28 19:46
不知海哥驾到有失远迎
我不关心投资我只关心什么时候纽币崩盘海外投资者来抢房

什么时候纽币崩盘？请大师指点？

作者: 楼主 时间: 2014-6-28 20:49:40

纽币一跌，国内的土豪们又争着汇钱过来买房。结果房价又涨了。然后央行又涨OCR，结果纽币又涨了。

我真的看不懂现在的形势。

作者: ilikeauckland 时间: 2014-6-28 20:51:44

什么时候纽币崩盘？

作者: songinator 时间: 2014-6-28 20:55:22

楼主发表于 2014-6-28 19:49
纽币一跌，国内的土豪们又争着汇钱过来买房。结果房价又涨了。然后央行又涨OCR，结果纽币又涨了。

我真的 ...

最后就是央行彻底管不了了呵呵不管了

作者: songinator 时间: 2014-6-28 20:56:01

ilikeauckland 发表于 2014-6-28 19:48
什么时候纽币崩盘？请大师指点？

最早也要本月OCR review之后

作者: ilikeauckland 时间: 2014-6-28 21:03:35

songinator 发表于 2014-6-28 19:56
最早也要本月OCR review之后

u mean after 27 June 2014?

作者: songinator 时间: 2014-6-28 21:41:14

ilikeauckland 发表于 2014-6-28 20:03
u mean after 27 June 2014?

24 July 2014 Next OCR announcement

作者: ilikeauckland 时间: 2014-6-28 23:04:46

songinator 发表于 2014-6-28 20:41
24 July 2014 Next OCR announcement

Thank you very much.

作者: 阿海 时间: 2014-6-28 23:06:31

songinator 发表于 2014-6-28 19:46
不知海哥驾到有失远迎
我不关心投资我只关心什么时候纽币崩盘海外投资者来抢房

我觉得对于那些海外土豪来说，汇率不是问题。

作者: songinator 时间: 2014-6-29 10:37:25

阿海发表于 2014-6-28 22:06
我觉得对于那些海外土豪来说，汇率不是问题。

很多不是土豪的等着呢

作者: ilikeauckland 时间: 2014-7-3 22:32:16

大师阿，24 July 2014 Next OCR announcement 好像说是要加息阿。请指点。

作者: ilikeauckland 时间: 2014-7-3 22:32:37

songinator 发表于 2014-6-29 09:37
很多不是土豪的等着呢

大师阿，24 July 2014 Next OCR announcement 好像说是要加息阿。请指点。

作者: ilikeauckland 时间: 2014-7-3 22:34:58

songinator 发表于 2014-6-28 20:41
24 July 2014 Next OCR announcement

请看这个 http://money.skykiwi.com/na/2014-07-02/181921.shtml

作者: winny 时间: 2014-7-3 23:41:43

大师呃

作者: songinator 时间: 2014-7-4 09:22:49

ilikeauckland 发表于 2014-7-3 21:34
请看这个 http://money.skykiwi.com/na/2014-07-02/181921.shtml

没所谓加息以后就会pause到年底
加息以后4个月不加息投资者就撤资了主要看加息后央行怎么说

作者: ilikeauckland 时间: 2014-7-4 10:33:59

songinator 发表于 2014-7-4 08:22
没所谓加息以后就会pause到年底
加息以后4个月不加息投资者就撤资了主要看加息后央行怎么说

那8月新西兰元会很高。请问对吗？谢谢。

作者: songinator 时间: 2014-7-4 10:40:13

ilikeauckland 发表于 2014-7-4 09:33
那8月新西兰元会很高。请问对吗？谢谢。

8月头有可能然后下降

作者: ilikeauckland 时间: 2014-7-4 20:41:43

songinator 发表于 2014-7-4 08:22
没所谓加息以后就会pause到年底
加息以后4个月不加息投资者就撤资了主要看加息后央行怎么说

Thank you very much.

作者: 冰凉的火 时间: 2014-7-6 15:59:45

大选前都应该会低一些吧，刺激出口

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