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标题: Standard and Poor's warns against NZ property market over-heating [打印本页]

作者: jarod_2003 时间: 2013-3-1 11:56:35 标题: Standard and Poor's warns against NZ property market over-heating

http://www.sharechat.co.nz/article/6bab0894/standard-and-poor-s-warns-against-nz-property-market-over-heating.html

looks like banks will start tightening their lending criterias .

or rase interest rates....

if at the same time, economy starts to go down ... people loss jobs or business.... it will be end of the property boom... hope it will be a soft crash landing ....

作者: SilverFern 时间: 2013-3-1 12:03:44

本帖最后由 SilverFern 于 2013-3-1 12:09 编辑

敬请期待~~~~~ 另外我不太明白现在NZ的经济也没复苏啊，再怎么go down呢？

作者: NewLynnHse 时间: 2013-3-1 12:18:05

会跌吗？

作者: jarod_2003 时间: 2013-3-1 13:28:22

本帖最后由 jarod_2003 于 2013-3-1 13:30 编辑

SilverFern 发表于 2013-3-1 12:03
敬请期待~~~~~ 另外我不太明白现在NZ的经济也没复苏啊，再怎么go down呢？

I'm not sure neither.... but the rating agency is warning NZ goverment the potential risks... so maybe it can be fixed.

however the globale economy is at stake and could change direction vastly either way. NZ eocnomy can only go with it ...

btw ... NZ economy is doing pretty well comapre to the rest of thr world... so there's room to be worse ...

作者: E1108 时间: 2013-3-1 13:58:17

it is never going to be like in the US, the Banking system and lending policy is relatively tighter here then those in the US

作者: jarod_2003 时间: 2013-3-1 14:25:48

E1108 发表于 2013-3-1 13:58
it is never going to be like in the US, the Banking system and lending policy is relatively tighter ...

yes, and that doesn't mean banks here are safe, most fundings are from overseas.

作者: E1108 时间: 2013-3-1 16:42:52

two reasons that I don't think the property market is going down

1.The demand for house will absolutely increase. Not only contributed by local residents, but also by oversea buyer, as traditional immigration countries such as Canada and Australia are currently rising requirements for migrants. NZ is still in a position of continually attracting more immigration especially for the ones who have financial abilities

2.The government is surely supporting the property market, OCR is lower and stable. Banks are not risking themselves. It’s the reserve bank of New Zealand who sets the OCR, Banks are lending out money in a low interest, but it doesn’t mean that banks are lending money out to people without checking their ability to pay back the loans. Banks are valuating those properties which are sold much above CV, they know what they are doing.

作者: Lease 时间: 2013-3-1 23:19:37

本帖最后由 Lease 于 2013-3-2 00:40 编辑

If you trust S & P, you might have purchased security assets of subprime mortgage, which were highly rated, and eventually may cause you bankrupt.

NZ property market will be over-heated, but not right now. At moment, it is the beginning of boom.

作者: winny 时间: 2013-3-1 23:22:58

作者: jarod_2003 时间: 2013-3-2 00:28:30

本帖最后由 jarod_2003 于 2013-3-2 00:29 编辑

Lease 发表于 2013-3-1 23:19
If you trust S & P, you might have purchased security assets of submarine mortgage, which were highl ...

expand what u mean submarine mortage ? never heard of it, what happend to it ?would be good if u privide some linkes to relevant sources .

作者: Lease 时间: 2013-3-2 00:36:08

本帖最后由 Lease 于 2013-3-2 00:41 编辑

Sorry it's subprime mortgage which is the source of GFC in 2008.

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